Iga Świątek entered the French Open as the odds-on favorite to win her third title in four years, and now she is just one win away from realizing it, and expected to do so in convincing fashion.
After the other side of the draw went up in flames in the quarterfinal round, Świątek faces the No. 15 player in the world Jasmine Paolini, who is enjoying a career-best run at Roland-Garros, making her first-ever final in a Grand Slam.
Świątek is a massive favorite to win the French Open, but what’s the most valuable betting angle?
We got you covered below:
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Moneyline
Total: 17.5 (Over -126/Under -106)
Odds courtesy of FanDuel Sportsbook
Paolini has been playing her best tennis in 2024, which has culminated with this run at Roland-Garros that will have her as a top 10 player in the world next week.
However, this is a significant jump in class after the Italian beat one player inside the top 30 to advance to the finals, beating No. 4 Elena Rybakina in three sets in the quarterfinals.
The No. 1 player and clear best on clay, Świątek, should have little issue navigating an early lead and overpowering Paolini in the title match. Since a near loss to Naomi Osaka in the second round, Osaka hasn’t dropped a set and has lost only 14 games (one on serve) in the last three matches.
The Italian deserves a ton of credit for arriving at the Grand Slam final, but this has been Świątek’s tournament to lose, and she will do it in convincing fashion, going under the match total for the fourth match in a row.
PICK: UNDER 17.5 (-106)
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REED WALLACH
Reed is a Senior Editor at SI Betting. He grew up in New Jersey and graduated from the University of Wisconsin-Madison. His passion lies with the Brooklyn Nets, but is always hunting for an edge.
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