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As the 2024 presidential race intensifies, fresh polling data released on October 3 for Kamala Harris and Donald Trump has sparked significant attention. With the contest remaining highly competitive, the polls reveal clear divisions among voters. These numbers offer crucial insights into both national trends and critical battleground states as the election nears.
Here’s a look at the most recent polling results and what they could mean for each candidate as Election Day approaches.
Kamala Harris vs Donald Trump Poll Results for October 3
As of October 3, 2024, Kamala Harris leads Donald Trump by 4.6% in national polls. Harris is polling at 49.9%, while Trump stands at 45.3%, according to The Hill.
Recent national polls reflect similar trends. The Susquehanna Polling (September 24 – October 2) shows Harris leading by 5 points, polling at 49% to Trump’s 44%. An Ipsos data (September 26 – October 1) places Harris ahead by 6 points, with 46% compared to Trump’s 40%. The Leger/New York Post data (September 28 – 30) shows a closer margin, with Harris leading 51% to Trump’s 47%, a 4-point difference.
State polls reveal tight races across key battlegrounds. In Arizona, Trump holds a 1.2% lead based on 38 polls, with InsiderAdvantage and Emerson College placing him ahead by 1 to 4 points. Similarly, Trump leads in Florida by 2.6%, with Public Policy Polling and McLaughlin & Associates showing a 4 to 5-point advantage for him.
In Pennsylvania, Harris holds a slim 0.9% lead, with data from Emerson College showing her 1 point ahead, while The Trafalgar Group places Trump up by 2 points. Michigan also remains close, with Harris ahead by 0.5%, though The Trafalgar Group shows Trump leading by 2 points.
Harris maintains a 1.7% lead in Wisconsin, where The New York Times/Siena College and ActiVote polls place her up by 1 to 2 points, but AtlasIntel reports Trump ahead by 2 points. In Georgia, Trump holds a 0.7% lead, though data is split with Quinnipiac University showing Trump up by 5 points. Nevada leans toward Harris, where she holds a 1.9% lead, supported by AtlasIntel and TIPP Insight polls.
Harris holds a 4.9% lead over Donald Trump in New Hampshire, based on three polls. The data from the University of New Hampshire (August 16–20) shows Harris at 52% and Trump at 47%, a 5-point difference. Emerson College (July 27–29) places Harris ahead by 5 points, with 52.4% to Trump’s 47.6%.
The 2024 presidential race remains competitive, with national and state polls revealing narrow margins in crucial swing states. As election day approaches, these battlegrounds will play a decisive role in shaping the final outcome.
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