It’s an active start to the week, with even more monsoon showers and thunderstorms Tuesday afternoon. Drier and hotter weather moves in later this week.
Monsoon moisture brought widely scattered showers and storms across the western two-thirds of New Mexico, with a few storms around Roswell too. Storms have had a history of dropping heavy rainfall, bringing Flash Flood Warnings to the HPCC and Ruidoso area burn scars. Storms will continue to move to the north/northeast through late this evening, with some storms even sticking around through late tonight and some spotty showers into early Tuesday morning. Tuesday is going to be an even more active afternoon of monsoon showers and thunderstorms. Storms will again first develop across the mountains early in the afternoon, with more widespread storms by the late afternoon and evening. Storms will again be travelling to the north/northeast. Heavy rain is likely over burn scar areas, which could mean more burn scar flash flooding Tuesday afternoon from Ruidoso to northern New Mexico. There is also a good chance for storms in the Albuquerque Metro.
Drier air moves into the state starting Wednesday as westerly mid-level winds bring it in from Arizona and high pressure moves back overhead. This will bring a significant downtick in thunderstorms through Friday, with the best chances for only a few spotty showers and storms mainly over the mountains. The heat will be returning late this week too, with record and near record high temperatures Friday through Sunday. Highs will be in the mid and upper 90s and triple-digits.
Monsoon moisture will slowly return to New Mexico this weekend, bringing back better chances for rain to the state once again.
