An active monsoon weather pattern continues through the weekend and into early next week. Storms will bring a threat of heavy rain and flash flooding.
More storms have developed Wednesday afternoon across New Mexico. Storms have been dropping heavy rain as well. Storms will continue to develop through Wednesday evening, with colliding outflow boundaries bringing a higher chance of rain to the lower elevations and valleys. Many showers and storms will taper off through the evening hours, but an area of rain will likely move south through central and southern New Mexico overnight, before fizzling out by sunrise Thursday.
We will continue this rinse-and-repeat weather pattern through the end of this week with more afternoon and evening showers and thunderstorms across most of New Mexico. Storms will all be capable of heavy rain, bringing a threat for flash flooding. Tomorrow, the risk of burn scar flash flooding increases for the Ruidoso area. The Flash Flood Watch has been extended through Friday morning now.
An even more active monsoon weather pattern will continue this weekend. More showers and storms will again develop both Saturday and Sunday afternoons. Storms this weekend could drop even heavier rainfall, especially from the Sangre de Cristo Mountains down to the Sacramento Mountains. This will really increase the threat of burn scar flash flooding. There will also be a threat of flash flooding in other parts of the state. Temperatures will be cooler too by Sunday afternoon thanks to the increase in monsoon moisture.
Another active afternoon is likely on Monday next week, but drier air will begin to move in starting Tuesday. Daily storm chances will continue for parts of the state, especially the mountains, through the middle of the week. But some valleys and lower elevations will see some drier and hotter weather return.
